A case can be made that President Trump is using North Korea toÂ kick the 24/7 Russia-gate narrative outÂ of the US news cycle. It’s certainly working. After all, inÂ Exceptionalistan weltanschauung, the prospect ofÂ war and its possible rewards certainly trumpsÂ hazy accusationsÂ ofÂ Russian hacking and election interference.
Capitol Hill would never even consider anÂ attempt toÂ impeach a presidentÂ â€” onÂ top if it surrounded byÂ generalsÂ â€” while American geopolitical primacy is inÂ danger. Besides, Congress has already made it explicit Trump does not even need permission toÂ bomb North Korea.
So, according toÂ this working hypothesis, if Robert Mueller finds anything seriously damaging toÂ the Trump brand, the president might actually consider a bomb North Korea/wag the dog operation.
Meanwhile, anybody paying attention toÂ what Edward Snowden has disclosed inÂ detail knows hackers ofÂ all persuasions are fine tuned toÂ all Mueller-related IT systems and cell phone communications. They will know what Team Mueller has managed toÂ find onÂ Trump inÂ real timeÂ â€” and plan their contingencies accordingly.
As forÂ the rhetorical war itself, a US intel source used toÂ thinking outsideÂ the Beltway box points toÂ the crucial variable, South Korea; “South Korea will not maintain its alliance withÂ the US the day they believe that the US will attack North Korea toÂ protect itself atÂ the expense ofÂ the death ofÂ thirty million people inÂ South Korea. South Korea is inÂ secret talks withÂ China forÂ a major security treaty because ofÂ the US position that they will bomb North Korea inÂ their own defense irrespective ofÂ the destruction ofÂ South Korea which the US would regard asÂ most unfortunate.”Don’t expect toÂ read aboutÂ these secret Beijing-Seoul talks onÂ Western corporate media. And that’s only part ofÂ the equation. The source adds, “there are secret talks betweenÂ Germany and Russia overÂ the US joint sanctions againstÂ those two nations and a realignment ofÂ the German position back toÂ the Bismarckian Ostpolitik ofÂ a new Reinsurance Treaty withÂ Russia.”
Assuming these secret negotiations bear fruit, the consequences will be nothing short ofÂ cataclysmic; “The European and Asian security systems ofÂ the United States may be aboutÂ to collapse due toÂ the turmoil inÂ Washington which is unhinging all ofÂ the United States alliances. As Congress undermines Donald Trump, the United States is presently jeopardizing all its major strategic relationships.”
Seoul Framed as “Collateral Damage”
Meanwhile, serious questions remain overÂ North Korea’s true military capabilities. As an independent Asia intel source familiar withÂ the Korean peninsula observes, “submarine launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs) asÂ well asÂ land-based nuclear missiles are available onÂ the black market, so North Korea would have no trouble acquiring them. North Korea knows that if they do not have a nuclear deterrent capacity they could be subject toÂ a similar destruction that occurred withÂ Iraq and Libya. In addition, the irresponsible threats againstÂ North Korea by [US Secretary ofÂ State] Tillerson, who should retire toÂ his fishing haunts, could do grave damage toÂ the US, forÂ if North Korea believes the US will strike they will not wait asÂ Saddam Hussein, having learned their lesson fromÂ that, butÂ they will strike first.”So the real issue, once again, is whether Pyongyang already is inÂ possession ofÂ SLBMs asÂ well asÂ land-based nuclear capacity, acquired throughÂ the black market. The Asia intel source adds, “North Korea presently has twenty Romeo class submarines which, according toÂ Heritage expertÂ Bruce Klingner, have the capacity toÂ carry nuclear SLBMs. These Romeo class submarines have a range ofÂ 9,000 miles and the distance fromÂ Pyongyang toÂ New York City is 6,783 miles. These submarines could be refueled, forÂ instance, inÂ Cuba, Therefore, it is not inconceivable toÂ find a North Korean submarine offshore New York City equipped withÂ a ballistic nuclear missile inÂ a showdown atÂ the O.K. Corral withÂ Washington D.C.”
US Think Tankland is developing a creepy consensus when it comes toÂ North Korea. Every analyst worth his paycheck knows that North Korea’s nuclear program sites are widely dispersed and ultra-reinforced; everyone also knows that devastating North Korea artillery is concentrated nearÂ the demilitarized zone (DMZ) withinÂ striking distance ofÂ Seoul. Still, this is all being spun asÂ part ofÂ an aseptic narrative where the US is “extremely reluctant” toÂ bomb.
It’s obviously hard forÂ CIA types toÂ publicly acknowledge that Pyongyang isÂ â€” successfullyÂ â€” creating the framework forÂ a new brand ofÂ negotiation withÂ the US asÂ well asÂ with South Korea, China and Russia. Any rational, non-Dr. Strangelove intellect knows there is no military solution toÂ this drama. North Korea is already a de facto nuclear powerÂ â€” and diplomacy will have toÂ take it intoÂ account.
Neocon/neoliberalcon War Party/CIA types though bet onÂ â€” what elseÂ â€” war. And fastÂ â€” beforeÂ the much-hyped point ofÂ no return when Pyongyang acquires a deliverable nuclear weapon. That’s where, predictably, most factions ofÂ the deep state converge withÂ Trump. And that’s the stuff ofÂ all sorts ofÂ chilling scenarios, pointing once again toÂ Washington having no qualms sacrificing its South Korean “ally”.
What the Deep State Really Wants
For all the intractable problems affecting the Korean peninsula, independent analysts have also been considering how the Washington-Pyongyang drama is only a small part ofÂ a much larger Big Picture; the American subjugation ofÂ international relations based onÂ their dependence ofÂ what is extracted fromÂ the rest ofÂ the world inÂ the form ofÂ dollar debt.Washington uses the usual toolsÂ â€”Â sanctionsÂ and bombsÂ â€” toÂ enforce dollar-denominated global trade and energy trade. China has counter-attacked withÂ everything fromÂ the biggest “win-win” trade/ infrastructure project ofÂ the 21st centuryÂ â€” the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI)Â â€” toÂ buying energy inÂ yuan; call it a mighty counterpunch againstÂ the infernal US debt machine. Russia forÂ its part has fully re-emerged asÂ a prime geopolitical/military power.
The Brzezinski doctrineÂ â€” toÂ prevent the emergence ofÂ any peer competitor, not toÂ mention an alliance ofÂ peer competitors such asÂ the Russia-China strategic partnershipÂ â€” is collapsing all over. Nuclear North Korea is just the latest visible sign ofÂ the collapse. It’s asÂ if withÂ voting inÂ favor ofÂ the latest sanctions package atÂ the UNSC, Russia-China have allowed a double dare (and they sure knew inÂ advance the rhetorical war would escalate).
The cumulative effect, forÂ all the world toÂ see, is Washington regime change obsession (Iran, Venezuela, etc.) and illegal trade sanctions (Russia, Iran, North Korea, etc.) run amok, while Russia-China subtly keep undermining both Washington’s supply chainÂ â€” asÂ in dollar debtÂ â€” and military enforcement (bomb North Korea if you dare). So it’s no wonder Russia-China, asÂ far asÂ the North Korea drama is concerned, are all forÂ diplomacy, while the exceptionalist US deep state craves war.